The Democrats’ ‘Generic Ballot’ Advantage Has All But Disappeared
Republicans appear to have closed the gap with Democrats in the all-important “generic ballot” — a clear sign that the GOP is surging politically in the run-up to the November 2018 midterms.
Democrats continue to insist that a “Blue Wave” will sweep their party back into control of the House of Representatives and may even allow them to recapture the Senate as well.
But the generic ballot — the best single measure of the relative balance of support of the two parties with the electorate — strongly suggests otherwise.
In the last week alone, three major pollsters have found that the gap between the two parties is statistically negligible. YouGov found a Democratic advantage of just 2 points. Reuters found a margin of 3 points.
And IBB/TIPP, considered by many to be the single most reliable pollster in the country, reported that the race is a dead heat.
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