Millennials are generally considered as those who were born between 1982 and 1995. All generations have their crises and problems, but the Millennial issue is particularly serious when it comes to economic matters. Born into an age of relative prosperity and coming of age into a horrendous, and possibly one of the worse (or the worst) job market in American history, unless one was specially trained in a highly specialized field before hand, had a little bit of help from family or friends, or came into money on his own, most Millennials have been left with serious debts and a lack of an ability to pay them due to a shrinking job market.
Millennials are not young anymore. With ages ranging from 24 to 37, They are starting to enter into middle age, and some are already there. As especially the older ones have not been able to make up for the serious financial hardships they suffered through during the years following the recession of 2007, which still has not ended, the generation has little to no financial footing on which to stand. With talk of another recession about to take place in the next five years, which is something that I have been warning about, it threatens to annihilate the Millennial generation according to a report:
The trade war is dragging on. The yield curve is inverting. Investors are fleeing to safety. Global growth is slowing. The stock market is dipping. The Millennials are screwed.
Recessions are never good for anyone. A sputtering economy means miserable financial, emotional, and physical-health consequences for everyone from infants to retirees. But the next one—if it happens, when it starts happening—stands to hit this much-maligned generation particularly hard. For adults between the ages of 22 and 38, after all, the last recession never really ended.
Millennials got bodied in the downturn, have struggled in the recovery, and are now left more vulnerable than other, older age cohorts. As they pitch toward middle age, they are failing to make it to the middle class, and are likely to be the first generation in modern economic history to end up worse off than their parents. The next downturn might make sure of it, stalling their careers and sucking away their wages right as the Millennials enter their prime earning years.
It was the last downturn—the once-a-century Great Recession—that set them on this doddering economic course. The Millennials graduated into the worst jobs market in 80 years. That did not just mean a few years of high unemployment, or a couple years living in their parents’ basements. It meant a full decade of lost wages. The generation unlucky enough to enter the labor market in a recession suffers “significant” earnings losses that take years and years to rebound, studies show, something that hard data now back up. As of 2014, Millennial men were earning no more than Gen X men were when they were the same age, and 10 percent less than Baby Boomers—despite the economy being far bigger and the country far richer. Millennial women were earning less than Gen X women.
Kids of the 1980s and 1990s have had a new, huge, financially catastrophic demand on their meager post-recession earnings, too: a trillion dollars of educational debt. About a quarter of Gen Xers who went to college took out loans to do so, compared with half of Millennials. And Millennials ended up taking out double the amount that Gen Xers did. No wonder, given that the cost of tuition has gone up more than 100 percent since 2001, even after accounting for inflation.
The toxic combination of lower earnings and higher student-loan balances—combined with tight credit in the recovery years—has led to Millennials getting shut out of the housing market, and thus losing a seminal way to build wealth. The generation’s homeownership rate is a full 8 percentage points lower than that of the Gen Xers or the Baby Boomers when they were the same age; the median age of home-buyers has risen all the way to 46, the oldest it has been since the National Association of Realtors started keeping records four decades ago.
As a result, Millennials have not benefited from the dramatic rebound in housing prices that has occurred since the financial collapse and the foreclosure crisis. Millennials have also been forced to shell out hundreds of billions of dollars in rent as housing costs have skyrocketed in many urban areas. This represents a large generational transfer of wealth from the young to the old. Boomers own the houses and bar municipalities from building more of them, thus benefiting from rising prices and soaking up endless rent checks forked over by younger and poorer families.
Cost pressures have also made it difficult or impossible for Millennials to save or invest. The share of Americans under the age of 35 who own stocks has meandered down from 55 percent in 2001 to 37 percent in 2018, in part because employers are less likely to offer retirement-savings plans and in part because Millennials have nothing left over at the end of the month to put away. Virtually all members of the cohort are “not saving adequately,” experts warn, and two-thirds of Millennials have zero retirement savings. This means that Millennials have benefited not a bit from the decade-long boom in stock prices, as their parents and grandparents have.
Millennials are worth less on paper than members of older generations are, and are worth less on paper than members of older generations were at the same point in their lives. The net worth of your average Millennial household is 40 percent lower than for Gen X households in 2001 and 20 percent lower than for Baby Boomers’ households at the end of the 1980s.
Could the Millennials make up this lost ground? Perhaps, if wage growth suddenly and dramatically accelerates, urban cores start to build millions of new homes, and Congress announces a student-loan debt jubilee. But financial experts consider it unlikely. Millennials missed out on the big asset boom that occurred between 2010 and the present, and “appreciation is unlikely to be as rapid in the near future as it was during the recent period,” argue economists at the Federal Reserve. “With the baby boomers occupying most of the top jobs and much of the housing, Millennials are doing less well than their parents,” concluded Credit Suisse. “We expect only a minority of high achievers and those in high-demand sectors such as technology or finance to effectively overcome the ‘millennial disadvantage.’”
The next recession—this year, next year, whenever it comes—will likely make that Millennial disadvantage even worse. Already, Millennials have put off saving and buying homes, as well as getting married and having babies, because of their crummy jobs and weighty student loans. A downturn that leads to higher unemployment and lower wages will force Millennials to wait even longer to start accumulating wealth, making it far harder for them to accumulate any wealth at all. (Compound interest is magic, after all.) Their trajectory, already terrible, might get even worse.
And Millennial suffering won’t just hurt Millennials. There is accumulating evidence that the economy is more sclerotic and slower-growing than it might be if the Millennials were able to buy homes, have families, start businesses, and spend like other generations—if the young were not existing just to pump up asset values for the old. Which reminds me—there’s one generation that might fare even worse than Millennials: Generation Z. (source, source)
Millennials have their problems, and it could be argued that many do approach life with a similar attitude to that of many of the Boomers and Gen X. Yet at the same time, what the Boomers and Gen X could compensate with through income or debt by way of cheap credit cannot work for the Millennials. They are being forced, and increasingly so along with the Zoomers, to shoulder the economic and social burden produced as a result of the debts incurred by their parents and grandparents.
Millennial rage is real. It must not be discounted. Generational warfare is not appropriate and must not be encouraged, as many Boomers and Gen Xers were deceived too. However, one should not also simply “blame” Millennials for being just “failures” because the general “failure to start” which they suffer from as a generation came about largely through trusting in the advice of those whose responsibility it was supposed to be to pass on society to them. They listened well, and yet it was through their obedience that they have been punished with a future that is seemingly hopeless, impoverished, and dead ending.
People wonder why Millennials and Zoomers are interested in socialism. But have they looked at the “younger people” in society lately? It is only a select handful of Millennials who are doing well, and often times very well. The rest of them suffer in silence or underneath a veneer of prosperity meant to shield their grave inner pain which they do not want to face because it is very difficult to think about. Likewise, the Zoomers are following a trajectory that is disturbingly similar to that of the Millennials, and will likely find themselves in the same position once a recession starts.
There is little that one can do to stop or mitigate the current circumstances save for the self. In other words, as much as one is able to, this is the time to pay down debts, save up money, and prepare for the inevitable, because there will come, likely by 2023, a debt crisis that will trigger another economic downturn.
Don’t be caught unprepared.
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