December 15, 2022

While political polling is an art, statistically rigorous polls are generally within the ballpark—yet Arizona 2022 election results don’t make sense (See here, here, and here). For those seeking integrity in elections, the Arizona midterm election is a hill worth dying on.

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Maricopa County, Arizona, was problematic in the 2020 election. Maricopa County officials stymied legislative and court oversight. The Board of Supervisors and others allegedly obstructed Arizona’s Senate 2020 election audit: “In every way imaginable, the county refused to cooperate with the Senate’s designated auditors, the Cyber Ninjas.”

A lawsuit prevented the Cyber Ninjas from directly reviewing any signatures. However, months later, the Senate retained Dr. Shiva Ayyadurai to test a scientifically selected sample of 499 signatures from Maricopa County. A panel of six individuals (including three forensic document examiners) examined the signatures and unanimously found a 12 percent error rate. When that rate is applied to all mail-in ballots in the county, it suggests that there may have been over 200,000 highly questionable (or phony) signatures in the election—not 587.

According to the Gateway Pundit, Maricopa County had another problem in 2020: It lacked proof of chain of custody for at least 740,000 ballots.

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Why? What is Maricopa County hiding?

The Kari Lake and Katie Hobbs race for Arizona governor was very close, with Hobbs leading by less than 0.6%. There are many irregularities, including Hobbs’s refusal to recuse herself, even though she was responsible for the election as Secretary of State. Therefore, a real forensic recount/audit is necessary regardless of what Maricopa County may say.The least of which was that 20% to 30% of the vote tabulation machines failed, forcing people to submit their ballots via “Door 3,” which then led to reports that Door 3 ballots were comingled with counted ballots. However, an election judge reported that the tabulation machines were working the night before. These machines must be isolated/quarantined. The log files must be examined before they can be altered.

In Maricopa County, in both the 2020 election and 2022 election, in Maricopa County, some polling places reportedly required felt pens to mark ballots. Felt pens can cause irregular or enlarged “bubbles,” or bleed through to the other side, so the ballot gets rejected when scanned.

It’s unclear if Imagecase Adjudication, which is a part of Democracy Suite 5.5B, is used in Maricopa County. Under that system, the rejected scanned digital image is sent to a person for adjudication. This person can make changes. If a change is made, a new digital image is overwritten on the first image of the ballot.

 Image: Maricopa County’s election official, Bill Gates. YouTube screen grab.

Another problem was the claim that, in Maricopa County, original ballots or images could not be found. Reportedly, the Imagecase Adjudication application is vulnerable to fraudulent ballot changes by unscrupulous election officials. See here and here.

The Arizona Attorney General opened an inquiry into Maricopa County 2022 election irregularities. Several counties delayed certifying the election but were forced to certify under threat of felony charges being filed. Kari Lake filed a suit in Maricopa County for election records (Complaint) and threatens more suits.

A principal concern in Maricopa County is ballot harvesting affecting the integrity and validity of early voting ballots. Another concern is whether the county properly certified and secured the voting machines.