January 17, 2023

I thought the Afghanistan bug-out was the ultimate arms deal. 

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Biden abandoned billions of dollars of weapons, leaving them behind for the Taliban to enjoy.  Which meant that our military – Army, Navy, Air Force, Marines – were out a lot of weapons and vehicles, aircraft and drones, and God alone knows what else.  When you’re in the middle of a bug-out, it’s hard to find the time to go take an inventory of equipment you’ll never see again.  Why we didn’t use a little C-4, which we were probably abandoning as well – to render all of those vehicles inoperable (a fancy term that means terminally broken) I’ll never know.  There must have been an angle. 

The actual value of what was left behind was all over the map. 

A quick review of contemporary headlines range from a CNN claim that we left behind $7 billion worth of materiel – a lot of money, equipment-wise, for sure.  However, FactCheck.org insists that the Republicans “inflated the cost” of what the Taliban seized, claiming that $85 billion is too high an estimate.  They came in with a marginally-deflated number, $82.9 billion. 

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Which is not far from what President Trump said in Alabama on August 22, 2021:  “They’ve left $83 billion worth of equipment behind, including brand new Apache helicopters, thousands of Humvee vehicles with armor guard, equipment that nobody has ever even seen before, it was so sophisticated.”

A few days later, Trump expanded on his perspective of the weapons left abandoned. 

“In addition to the obvious, all equipment should be demanded to be immediately returned to the United States, and that includes every penny of the $85 billion dollars in cost. If it is not handed back, we should either go in with unequivocal military force and get it, or at least bomb the hell out of it,” Trump said.

Whatever the loss, when the military loses a weapon, it’s time to go back to the manufacturer to get it replaced.  Tankers without a tank aren’t much good to the Army, just as pilots without planes aren’t doing a whole lot for the Air Force.  So it does matter how much weaponry assigned to the U.S. military – exempting those given to our Afghan “allies” – was left behind and need to be replaced. 

One of the joys of that – at least to military equipment manufacturers – is that the replacement is not just brand-new, but almost always progressively enhanced in capabilities – and price.

Getting back to Afghanistan, the Government Accountability Office reported that between 2003 and 2016, the U.S. supplied Afghan defense and security forces with an arsenal that included 208 aircraft, 42,000 pickup trucks, 22,000 Humvees, nearly 9,000 MTV cargo and transport trucks, nearly 1,000 mine resistant ambush protected vehicles, nearly 200 armored personnel carriers and hundreds of thousands of rifles, pistols, machine guns, grenade launchers, rocket propelled weapons and night vision goggles. More had been provided between 2016 and August of 2021.