December 4, 2023

Voter enthusiasm is a key ingredient to a winning campaign. The Democrats leveraged anger over the Dobbs decision to create enthusiasm and outperform expectations in both the 2022 midterm and the 2023 off-year elections. But that advantage isn’t likely to hold next year. Donald Trump wasn’t on the ballot in either of the last two elections. But he probably will be next year, and the left has done everything possible to energize his supporters. Their lust to “get Trump” has neutralized their enthusiasm advantage.

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Even though the Republicans underperformed in the last two elections, I refuse to be pessimistic about conservative prospects for next year. I say that because the Dems are clearly not optimistic about theirs. They didn’t indict Donald Trump four times because they think they have a winning position. They’re cheating with lawfare because they don’t have anything winnable to run on — including their candidate.

The Dems are begging Biden to withdraw from the 2024 race because they know he is — wait for it — a loser! But they’ve got a gigantic problem. Joe isn’t likely to withdraw. His ego is too big, his intellect is too small, and running again may be the only way to keep his wife on the cover of Vogue and his whole family out of federal lockup. Besides, they have nobody better to replace him with (see: DeSantis/Newsom debate). The Dems are scared and the reasons are obvious.

State of the Parties

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The Republicans recently ousted their Speaker of the House and underwent a few weeks of squabbling. The media declared it a party civil war which was likely to tear the Republicans apart for decades. Surprise! It didn’t.

While the Republicans were arguing with each other about debt ceilings and omnibus spending bills, the Democrats were debating what level of death and destruction the party should endorse. The party that advocates abortion as a valid method of contraception, is now split over whether the killing of babies is a valid tactic of warfare. Amazingly, they are actually arguing over whether the killing of Jews is good or bad — and Jews are one of their most reliable voting blocs. That is not a path to party unity.

State of the Media

Why do socially and economically conservative people continue to vote for the party of debt, surrender, racism, socialism, and moral relativism? Because the MSM has become the propaganda arm of the Democrats. It has convinced voters that a vote for Democrats is a vote to save

  • The planet,
  • The children,
  • The marginalized, and
  • The oppressed.

…while a vote for Republicans is a vote for some combination of The Purge and The Hunger Games. And yet with all that gaslighting, the MSM has only managed to achieve a 50/50 split of the electorate — nowhere near electoral dominance for their pals.

But now their influence is waning, because what they say doesn’t comport with what everyone sees.

  • Twenty years of “the planet will be dead in 10 years”
  • Seven years of “Trump colluded with Russia”
  • Four years of “Joe Biden is the most trustworthy politician since Honest Abe Lincoln”
  • “California is a model for the rest of the country to emulate”