Recently the New York Times published an article claiming that there is an increasingly high probability of a large turnout in the upcoming election cycle. However, in a surprising turn of events, this eventuality would benefit Donald Trump and not, as has been the historical norm, Joe Biden or the Democrats.
The reason: the extraordinarily high level of voter engagement as nearly three-fourths of the citizenry believes the country is headed in the wrong direction resulting in an increasing number of low-frequency voters claiming they will cast a ballot in 2024. The New York Times article further cites statistics that among the people who voted in 2020 but not 2022, Trump leads but among those who did not vote in either the 2020 or 2022 elections, Trump is leading by a significant14 percentage points.
Because of these trends as well as the current polling in battleground states and among minorities, Ben Shapiro, writing at the Daily Wire, believes the presidential campaign is at the stage where it is now Trump’s to lose. However, this assumes that there will be a near-record turnout of low-frequency voters and a significant percentage of minority voters opting for Donald Trump.
How does Donald Trump make certain he will receive a significant minority vote and a that there will be massive turnout among those who are not normally inclined to vote? Perhaps a brief interview with a potential voter in Detroit, Michigan offers a template.
After Trump’s appearance at a community roundtable in Detroit on June 16th, a well-known local rapper, Icewear Vizzo, was asked what he thought about Trump and for whom he would vote. He answered,
I’m voting based on personal experience. I’ve experienced Trump as president. I’ve experienced Joe Biden as president — and I like Trump as president more.
Therein lies what should be the foundational basis of Trump’s presidential campaign. Not since the election of 1892 have the American people been given a choice between two candidates that occupied the Oval office within two consecutive terms.
Sundance
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