Trump’s Victory: A Historic Win with an Achilles Heel
If you’re reveling in the glow of Trump’s historic election, enjoy the moment. He won it all: the popular vote, 312 in the Electoral College, and every swing state as Republicans took control of the House and the Senate.
It was a political butt-kicking that was epic in every way. Pundits are crowing that it’s the end of woke, a massive turning point in the nation, and the beginning of the Trump -Vance era in American politics.
But not so fast. Conservatives need to temper this with a massive reality check.
Donald Trump came within 240,000 votes of losing the White House to Kamala Harris.
Two things can be true at the same time: Trump’s win was historic, but it also has an Achilles heel — margins of victory that are so slim that they are tenuous at best.
The political butt-kicking America handed Harris was tighter than any conservative wants to admit. The Left was beaten, not defeated, and Trump’s mandate will evaporate in a heartbeat if conservatives hand everything back to the Left by giving up on the grassroots effort that secured this exceptionally narrow victory.
It’s all here in the 2024 election stats if you want to look.
Trump won the popular vote, but his margin was 1.6% or 2.5 million votes, the smallest since Reagan, and popular vote margins can easily be overcome every four years, especially one this small. It’s a natural part of the election cycle as fickle American voters shift between parties. Bush the Elder won the popular vote by 7.8% in 1988, which evaporated in his loss to Clinton in 1992.
People overlook that 48.5% of Americans voted to keep Harris and her Marxist woke policies in place. Half of America didn’t seem to mind that the border was wide open, Venezuelan gangs controlled apartment buildings, food was unaffordable, and children were abused with puberty blockers and permanently scarred to advance the trans agenda as boys pummeled girls in women’s sports.
The majority of the country did not shift to the right; the Left still has a solid competitive base. If you disagree, ask the 48.5% of Americans who thought four more years of the Biden administration on steroids was good for the country.
Trump won all swing states, but the Democrats had a path to the White House.
Nearly every swing state’s margin of victory was within the margin of error, which means they were winnable if the Left hadn’t chosen a dumpster fire candidate who ran a dumpster fire campaign. Consider this. Trump won Pennsylvania by 1.7%, Michigan by 1.4%, and Wisconsin by 0.9%. Harris only needed these vote totals, 130,000 in PA, 80,000 in MI, and 30,000 in WI, to win. Choosing Josh Shapiro as V.P. closes the gap in PA and helps her find an additional 110,000 voters in Michigan and Wisconsin to secure 44 more Electoral College votes.
www.chuckmason.net.
Image: AT via Magic Studio
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