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War On The Rocks
Trump’s Panamanian Aspirations Are a Canal to Nowhere
Will President Donald Trump really seek to use U.S. military force to retake the Panama Canal as he has threatened? Let’s hope not.
Given the fraught nature of retaking the canal by force or even by economic pressure, it could be…
Understanding Cyber Effects in Modern Warfare
Where, when, and how might offensive cyber operations impact the outcomes of war? For over 40 years, this debate often spiraled to the extremes, whether offensive cyber operations are revolutionary or mostly hype, a warfighting game-changer…
In Brief: A New Syrian Government’s Regional Relationships
Syria’s new leaders are in desperate need of partners who can provide fiscal, economic, and diplomatic support. Since overthrowing the Assad regime, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham’s leader, Ahmed al Sharaa, has actively reached out to multiple…
In Syria, America Should Be Ruthlessly Focused on the Islamic State
Five years ago, we warned that a snap decision to depart Syria — abandoning the U.S. Kurdish-led partner force that has fought the Islamic State in Syria for the last 10 years while thousands of suspected fighters remained in detention —…
U.S. Officials Need to Explain the Stakes in Taiwan
“In the United States people are singularly oblivious of the close relation between peace and preparation.”–Alfred Thayer Mahan, 1912
Only 34 percent of Americans can find Taiwan on a map and they are even less aware of U.S. strategic…
Mapping the Future
Over the past couple weeks, everyone in Washington and the world has published their geopolitical forecast for 2025. The beauty of these predictions is that you can simultaneously make fun of the vague ones for being vague and the clear…
Could the Fall of Assad and the Return of Trump Lead to a Better Deal with Iran?
Iran’s inability to support Bashar al-Assad’s regime and prevent its collapse, coupled with recent significant blows to Hizballah and Israeli strikes within Iranian borders, underscores Tehran’s unprecedented regional weakness.
With…
Dual Use Deception: How Technology Shapes Cooperation in International Relations
<!-- category --> January 15, 2025 In this special episode of Horns of a Dilemma, Rick Landgraf talks with Jane Vaynman and Tristan Volpe, co-authors of “Dual Use Deception: How Technology Shapes Cooperation in International…
Rewind and Reconnoiter: Why Women Scare Autocrats
In 2022, Kathleen J. McInnis, Benjamin Jensen, and Jaron Wharton wrote, “Why Dictators are Afraid of Girls: Rethinking Gender and National Security,” where they analyzed how gender can break or bolster authoritarian regimes. We asked…
The United States Can’t Afford to Not Harden its Air Bases
For decades, the United States has relied on airpower and the qualitative superiority of its aircraft to gain an advantage over its adversaries. But that advantage is rapidly eroding. The Chinese military is fielding sophisticated air…